Twitter: @GGirlSports.
The 8th Seed in the East, Miami Heat (44-38, 27-14 Home) are looking to eliminate the 5th Seed New York Knicks (47-35, 24-17 Away) tonight. Miami has a 3-2 series lead and looks to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. These two teams will play tonight at 7:30 PM EST, at Kaseya Center, located in Miami, Florida. The matchup will air on ESPN. If you are looking for the best betting odds and stats, here is information to know:
NBA Championship Odds:
New York Knicks: +7000
Miami Heat: +2000
NBA Conference Semifinals.
New York Knicks @ Miami Heat (Game 6).
New York: +205.Philadelphia: -245.Spread: New York: +6.5, Miami: -6.5.Over/Under: 207.
Injuries:
New York Knicks
SG Immanuel Quickley (Day-To-Day): Ankle.C Jericho Sims (OUT): Right Shoulder.
Miami Heat
SF Caleb Martin (Day-To-Day): Back.SF Jimmy Butler (Day-To- Day): Right ankle sprain.SG Victor Oladipo (OUT): Left Knee.PG Tyler Herro (OUT): Right hand.F Haywood Highsmith (Day-To-Day): Knee.
Player Props
New York Knicks
Jalen Brunson OVER 27.5 Points
Jalen Brunson has been playing his heart out for this New York Knicks team. Brunson scored 38 Points in Game 5, and 32 Points in Game 4. With an elimination game on the line, I can’t think of anyone else to step it up. Additionally, Jalen Brunson scored 30 Points in Game 2, and 20 points in Game 3 due to poor shooting.
Overall, Brunson is averaging 26.5 Points in the Playoffs, and averaging 29 Points Per Game in the series vs the Miami Heat. He’s a guy that can get to the rim, and hit from downtown, although that’s inconsistent at times. Although the Knicks have RJ Barrett and Julius Randle, it’s Brunson who will need to come up big for the Knicks. Give me Jalen Brunson OVER 27.5 Points here in Game 6 against the Miami Heat.
RJ Barrett OVER 20.5 Points
Even though RJ Barrett is hot and cold from the three, he’s been consistent in the series against the Miami Heat. In 5 Games against Miami, Barrett is averaging 22.8 Points Per Game, and is shooting 41.2 Percent from the Three.
In 4 regular season games against the Heat, Barrett averaged 21.3 Points, and shot 51.6 Percent from the field. In addition, he’s averaging 20.1 Points Per Game in the Postseason, and 19.1 Points on the road. Look for Barrett to step it up alongside Jalen Brunson.
Julius Randle OVER 3.5 Assists.
We all know Julius Randle has been inconsistent with points and battled injuries this post season. One aspect that’s been consistent has been his ability to pass the ball and get assists. In 5 games against the Miami Heat, Randle is averaging 4.5 Assists, and had 5 assists in Game 4.
If Randle is doubled down low, he can kick out, and find teammates like Brunson or Barrett. In 4 regular season games against Heat, Randle averaged 4.8 Assists, and is averaging 3.7 in the playoffs. Ball movement will be key here for the Knicks if they want to survive this game. Give me Julius Randle OVER 3.5 Assists.
Miami Heat
Max Strus OVER 2.5 made Threes + Over 12.5 Points.
If there’s any player I trust with the ball this series, it’s Max Strus. In 4 regular season games against New York, he shot 61 Percent from the field, and 64.3 from the Three-Point-Range, which is incredible. In addition, Strus is shooting 39 Percent from the Three in the Playoffs, and 38.1 Percent in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. There’s only been ONE game where Max Strus didn’t hit 3 made Three Pointers, and that was game 1. He is a player that will shoot anywhere from 11-14 shots game, and I fully expect him to make his threes. I like Max Strus OVER 2.5 made threes tonight.
I also like Max Strus over 12.5 Points. Strus is averaging 14.8 Points in the Semifinals, especially with Tyler Herro and Victor Oladipo out with injuries. Also, Max Strus hit over 12.5 points in 4 Games against Miami and is averaging 11.5 Points at home this season. Strus is a reliable scorer for the Heat, that comes up in big moments.
Jimmy Butler OVER 6.5 Assists.
Jimmy Butler certainly has lived up to his nickname, “Jimmy Buckets.” Not only has he been playing out of his mind while battling injuries, but he’s also the leader of this team. Jimmy Butler averaged 6.3 Assists in 4 season games against New York, 5.6 Assists in the Playoffs, and 6.5 Assists in 5 games against the Knicks. I expect a big game from Butler, following the Heat’s Game 5 loss. I like Jimmy Butler OVER 6.5 Assists.
Key Stats-Playoffs:
•New York averages 100.9 points per game.
•Miami averages 115 points per game.
•New York ranks 2nd in points allowed with 100.1 opponent points per game.
•Miami ranks 8th in points allowed with 110.5 opponent points per game.
•New York ranks 5th in rebounds per game with 45.8.
•Miami ranks 11th in rebounds per game with 41.4.
•New York ranks 6th in point differential at +0.8.
•Miami ranks 3rd in point differential at +4.5.
•New York ranks 11th in blocked shots with 4.0 per game.
•Miami ranks 13th in blocked shots with 3.7 per game.
•New York averages 29.2 percent from the 3-point range, while Miami averages 37.5 percent from the 3-point range.
LAST 10 GAMES + GAME PREDICTION:
SPREAD: New York +6.5.
-New York covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games.
-Miami covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games.
-New York has a 49-39-4 record ATS this season.
-Miami has a 39-52-3 record ATS this season.
-Miami is 19-26-2 in HOME games ATS this season.
-New York is 49-39-4 in AWAY games ATS this season.
New York only covered the spread 5 of their last 10 games, and once in this series. Tonight, is a potential elimination game, and the Knicks only got blown out once, which was Game 3 against Miami. The Knicks must find a way to keep it close. Give me New York +6.5.
MONEY LINE: Miami ML
-New York won the Money Line 6 out of their last 10 games.
-Miami won the Money Line 7 of their last 10 games.
Erik Spoelstra and the Heat know the playoffs very well. The Heat simply have a better supporting cast, high level coaching, and they will be at home tonight. Jimmy Butler has some incredible games in the playoffs, and I expect him to come out with a chip on his shoulder tonight. Give me Heat Money Line.
OVER/UNDER- OVER
-New York Avg +/- vs O/U Line: +2.96.
-Miami Avg +/- vs O/U Line: +0.69.
-New York Overall O/U Record: 46-44-2.
-Miami Overall O/U Record: 49-45-0.
-New York hit the UNDER 7 times in their last 10 games.
-Miami hit the OVER 8 times in their last 10 games.
3 out of the 5 games in the series hit the Over. Game 3 was a blowout, which hit the under, and the Heat hit the over 8 out of their last 10 games. With an elimination game on the line, I expect offense here. Give me the OVER.
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Sara Jane is a full-time content creator, focusing on both college basketball, the NBA, NFL, and writer of Ballislife.com. Don’t forget to follow her on Twitter/Twitch/YouTube/Instagram: @GGirlSports.
